Monday Business Report

Monday Business Report
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On this week’s Defense & Aerospace Report Business Roundtable, sponsored by Bell, Dr. “Rocket” Ron Epstein of Bank of America Securities, Sash Tusa of the independent equity research firm Agency Partners, and Richard Aboulafia of the AeroDynamic advisory consultancy join host Vago Muradian to discuss Wall Street’s fourth down week in a row as President Trump says a recession may be possible before his politics improve the economy and escalates his trade war against Europe and Canada; Congress avoids a government shutdown. but faces a full-year continuing resolution; Canada’s new prime pinister, Mark Carney, asks his defense minister to reconsider the country’s purchase of 88 F-35 Lighting II fighters; as European nations accelerate efforts to build capabilities, interest in additional US weapons abruptly wanes; Portugal reportedly decides against F-35s and Turkey opts for Eurofighters; former Airbus CEO Tom Enders urges Europe to focus on autonomous drones rather than high end platforms to quickly improve capabilities in the face of threats from east and west; and what to expect at Joanna Speed’s annual Aerospace Event in Beverly Hills March 17-18, 2025.

Monday Business Report
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On this week’s Defense & Aerospace Report Business Roundtable, sponsored by Bell, Dr. “Rocket” Ron Epstein of Bank of America Securities, Sash Tusa of the independent equity research firm Agency Partners, and Richard Aboulafia of the AeroDynamic advisory consultancy join host Vago Muradian to discuss Wall Street’s worst week since 2022 over tariff and inflation worries; President Trump doubled tariffs on China to 20 percent as he paused 25 percent tariffs on cars from Canada and Mexico; alarmed by Trump’s pro-Russian rhetoric and suspension of aid and intelligence sharing with Ukraine, European nations agree to surge defense spending to more than $900 billion over the coming four years; the fundamental shift in mindset as NATO members conclude that alliance may be dead as America commits superpower suicide; the Pentagon continues its budget drill to redirect 8 percent of savings annually over the coming five years as senior leaders and executives make their case for programs especially manned aircraft like the F-35 Lightning II fighter and the Next Generation Air Dominance Aircraft; the US Navy drops Lockheed Martin from the FA-XX program, tapping Boeing and Northrop Grumman to move to next phase of the effort to develop the service’s next-generation combat aircraft; Delta Airlines partners with JetZero to develop a new jetliner; and the second SpaceX Starship rocket in a row exploded enroute to orbit.

Monday Business Report
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On this week’s Defense & Aerospace Report Business Roundtable, sponsored by Bell, Dr. “Rocket” Ron Epstein of Bank of America Securities, Sash Tusa of the independent equity research firm Agency Partners, and Richard Aboulafia of the AeroDynamic advisory consultancy join host Vago Muradian to discuss another down week on Wall Street despite a rally on Friday as investors try to determine the global economic and market impact of President Trump’s tariffs, policies and upturning US alliances; the military services continue efforts to free funding that the administration can use on its new priorities; uncertainty on Capitol Hill as a shutdown looms without clarity on defense spending; after clashing with Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy in the Oval Office over whether Vladimir Putin, Trump said “Zelenskyy is not ready for peace if America is involved” as officials said Washington would halt aid to Kyiv; Trump’s meetings with British Prime Minister Sir Kier Starmer and French President Emmanuel Macron; AerCap, Albany International, Embraer, RocketLab, and Rolls-Royce post earnings; Boeing demonstrates strong operational performance; and whether the Trump administration’s drive to cancel major weapons and reward unproven startups will impact heritage firms and reshape the US defense industrial base.

Monday Business Report
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On this week’s Defense & Aerospace Report Business Roundtable, sponsored by Bell, Dr. “Rocket” Ron Epstein of Bank of America Securities, Sash Tusa of the independent equity research firm Agency Partners, and Richard Aboulafia of the AeroDynamic advisory consultancy join host Vago Muradian to discuss another tough week on Wall Street as investors grapple with President Trump-induced economic uncertainty over tariffs and inflation; worries about of a protracted continuing resolution, government shutdown or a debt default; the Pentagon drive to redirect 6-8 percent a year of funding over five years to new priorities; the firing of top including Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. CQ Brown, Chief of Naval Operations Adm. Lisa Franchetti and Vice Air Force Chief Gen. Jim Slife are fired; DoD’s sacking of more than 5,000 workers; allies’ view of Washington after America’s rapid betrayal of Ukraine, partnership with Russia, and hardy criticism of Europe that have driven nations to bolster capabilities; Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s offer to resign in exchange for peace and Ukraine’s NATO membership as Kyiv prepares to grant half of its rare earth deposits to Washington; Airbus and BAE Systems results; Jeff Shockey’s abrupt departure from RTX to joining Boeing to run the beleaguered giant’s government operations; the fire that gutted leading aerospace fasteners maker SPS Technologies; and Trump’s interest in modifying a Qatari 747-8 as the next Air Force one until his real Air Force ones are ready.

Monday Business Report
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On this week’s Defense & Aerospace Report Business Roundtable, sponsored by Bell, Dr. “Rocket” Ron Epstein of Bank of America Securities, Sash Tusa of the independent equity research firm Agency Partners, and Richard Aboulafia of the AeroDynamic advisory consultancy join host Vago Muradian to discuss an up market despite tariff threats and rising inflation that will forestall more interest rate cuts; President Trump and his team sent shock waves across Europe after announcing direct talks with Russia to end the Ukraine war without European or Ukrainian participation, promising to arm Kyiv in exchange for half its rare earth mineral deposits, rejecting AI cooperation with allies, and working to normalize hard-right parties; whether Europe can step up as quickly as needed to both support Ukraine and address its own weapons needs; Trump says he’ll strike a deal with China and Russia to halve US defense spending as Congress works to increase spending by $100 billion or more dollars over the coming years; Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth says he’ll shift 8 percent of Pentagon spending to new priorities as he issued his 2026 budget guidance to the military services with savings to be found in “low impact, wasteful, DEI and climate programs,” anything related to the border is off limits as are nuclear attack submarines, large and small unmanned aircraft including the Collaborative Combat Aircraft, but manned planes like F-35 Lightning II fighters, aircraft carriers and even the Future Long-Range Assault Aircraft could be targeted; US arms exports hit a record high, but as Hegseth pledges to reform the Foreign Military Sales system to foster more deals, some question whether allies who worry that Washington won’t back them might not keep buying; the administration tells US firms they won’t be punished if they bribe foreign officials; and what to expect as Airbus — and other European firms — report earnings next week.

Monday Business Report
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On this week’s Defense & Aerospace Report Business Roundtable, sponsored by Bell, Dr. “Rocket” Ron Epstein of Bank of America Securities, Sash Tusa of the independent equity research firm Agency Partners, and Richard Aboulafia of the AeroDynamic advisory consultancy join host Vago Muradian to discuss Wall Street’s down week as investors worried about tariffs and inflation; Babcock, Bombardier, HII, Kongsberg, Palantir, Saab and Transdigm either report or prereport earnings; Boeing increased delivery of 737 Max series jetliners to 40 a month from 35 a month last year as Airbus delayed proposal on hydrogen powered aircraft; under pressure from investors Honeywell will break up into three parts as did GE, but investors punished the conglomerate’s stock; Triumph Group will be acquired by Warburg Pincus and Berkshire Partners in a $3 billion deal; commercial passenger and cargo traffic are both up 10 and 11 percent respectively year over year; the US Marine Corps issued its long-range aviation plan that includes increasing orders of carrier-capable C-model F-35 Lighting II stealth fighters.

Monday Business Report
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On this week’s Defense & Aerospace Report Business Roundtable, sponsored by Bell, Dr. “Rocket” Ron Epstein of Bank of America Securities, Sash Tusa of the independent equity research firm Agency Partners, and Richard Aboulafia of the AeroDynamic advisory consultancy join host Vago Muradian to discuss a brutal week on Wall Street as the market loses $1 trillion as shocked investors react to China’s DeepSeek AI and the Federal Reserve for the first time said it won’t continue interest rate cuts; implications of the worst US air disaster in 16 years as an US Army UH-60 Blackhawk helicopter collides with an American Airlines jetliner killing 67; President Trump imposes 25 percent tariffs on Canada and Mexico, and a 10 percent tariff on goods from China; analysis of 2024 earnings reported by Boeing, General Dynamics, L3Harris, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, RTX; Lockheed’s aeronautics charge and Northrop’s second low-rate production contract for the B-21 Raider bomber; and King Charles changes the name of the Royal Navy’s last Astute-class submarine.

Monday Business Report
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On this week’s Defense & Aerospace Report Business Roundtable, sponsored by Bell, Dr. “Rocket” Ron Epstein of Bank of America Securities, Sash Tusa of the independent equity research firm Agency Partners, and Richard Aboulafia of the AeroDynamic advisory consultancy join host Vago Muradian to discuss a strong week on Wall Street as investors work to determine the impact of Donald Trump’s policies a week into his second administration, from widely expected tax cuts, defense spending increases and war on migrants to what higher tariffs, trade wars and rising tensions with allies will mean including the president’s “aggressive” conversation over gaining ownership of Greenland with Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederickson; as some worry Trump’s rhetoric could undermine US weapons sales worldwide Poland’s Defense Minister Wladyslaw Kosiniak-Kamysz urges allies to curry favor with Trump by buying more US weapons; NATO considers sharing highly classified capability assessments with industry to speed weapons development; Boeing preannounces another $4 billion in losses as it prepares to report earnings; what Embraer’s next jetliner should look like; update on Blue Origin’s New Glenn and SpaceX’s Starship programs; and the industry-wide impacts of California’s devastating fires.

Monday Business Report
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On this week’s Defense & Aerospace Report Business Roundtable, sponsored by Bell, Dr. “Rocket” Ron Epstein of Bank of America Securities, Sash Tusa of the independent equity research firm Agency Partners, and Richard Aboulafia of the AeroDynamic advisory consultancy join host Vago Muradian to discuss Wall Street has a strong week as Donald Trump prepares to return to the White House; with no debt ceiling increase the US Treasury starts extraordinary measures to stretch resources until Congress makes a deal to avoid default; defense outlays hit an all-time high with a nearly 10 percent year-over-year increase and prominent GOP lawmakers press for a $100-$200 billion increase in Pentagon spending; the Aerospace Industries Association expresses openness to working with the new administration on selective tariffs to redress trade inequities; Anduril picks Columbus, Ohio, for its new 5 million square foot “Arsenal 1” facility that will employ 4,000; some positive 737, 787 and 777X news for Boeing; and the number of parked narrow-body jetliners grows as cargo drops, but sidelined planes with Pratt & Whitney’s geared turbofan engines declines.

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